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Broken Vector Sinks Again, Opening Movement

Introduction
James Patrick Holding


In recent days, one "Johnny Skeptic" -- a know-nothing of the sort one always dreads to meet in a smart alley -- paid the Sec Web's Richard Carrier to write a reply to The Impossible Faith. On 12/17/04, when I first learned of this response, I was less than a week away from a 10-day vacation and also had a weekend speaking engagement; between these I was permitted time for only a brief response. Now that this time is past, I am able to offer a fuller reply. Let's start with Carrier's preliminary remarks.

Carrier begins with the sort of red herring we have become accustomed to see fileted from his quarter; which is, a complaint that my paper is "missing...any sort of formal logical or statistical argument." The expectation is misplaced to begin with; as a work written for a popular audience, no such "formal logical or statistical argument" is required, and in any event, if the logic is not dressed in tuxedo and tails simply to satisfy Carrier's nascent snobbery, that's just plain too bad for him. But no: it is not true that even I, as he says, "must admit that the odds of Christianity becoming successful without being true could not be zero even on all of his own assumptions." I admit no such thing and never will. I say indeed: The odds of success, barring the validating evidence of the resurrection, would indeed be, for all intents and purposes, zero; or else, would require some other suitable explanation to overcome the odds, including those that Carrier himself would scarcely endorse, even as he hypocritically suggests them as options (e.g., that Jesus was resurrected by Satan) and in so doing, ought to be ashamed of himself. Carrier's vague blatherings to the effect that "[h]uman behavior is not that predictable," etc. are merely evasive non-answers, purposely given in such a way as to avoid arguable specifics. This will be his mode of operation in several of the points that follow: nebulous appeals without specific evidence, to some unattested and undocumented variations in reaction for which the only reason given is, "it must have been so or else Christianity would not have succeeded."

The same evasion game is performed when Carrier demands to know "how improbable would the success of Christianity have to be, before we have to believe in the resurrection of Jesus to explain that success?" No such mathematical gerrymandering is required for the point to stand: A simple "would it work, yes or no" is all that is needed, and Carrier makes no effort to show why this is not the case beyond the same vague appeals to diversity. The appeal of comparison to being struck by lightning is especially ludicrous. Carrier apparently sees no difference between the odds of one particular person being struck by lightning (which is indeed very unlikely) and the odds of anyone at all being struck by lightning (which is not at all improbable), especially "anyone" whose positions put them at high risk for being struck. Given Carrier's robust inability to perform this very basic critical thought process, we justifiably wonder about the validity of his demands for number-crunching.

In the end, Carrier hypocritically admits that "[n]ormally, this is not a barrier to historical inquiry, since we need only ascertain the most probable cause of an event, given all we know." His excuse for pleading an exception here, however, runs back to the same old Skeptical canards and presuppositions about alleged improbability of miracles; in other words, that same false dichotomy, first erected during the Enlightenment, between natural and supernatural. This artificial distinction involves nothing but bald presuppositions of naturalism, and thus, the supposition governs the argument rather than the evidence.

A side note worthy of consideration is Carrier's bigoted suggestion against "the probability that a genuinely risen (and hence living) Christ would actually produce all the evidence we have (including a Church preaching immoral doctrines such as the subjugation of women and the persecution of doubters)". These two objections are vague and without substance, so only a general answer can be made. First, "subjugation of women" is not in the least a "doctrine" of the church. Carrier is challenged, therefore, to produce evidence that his claim is true, that indeed "subjugation of women" is a "doctrine" of the church (as opposed to an aberration). Nor is "persecution of doubters" such a doctrine, and the challenge is again made to show that this is truly the case (as opposed to, again, an aberration or mutation), a divorcing from the teachings of Christ). Carrier merely includes these complaints as part of his bigoted and misogynist view of Christianity, which compels him to seek to undermine belief in it my any means possible, no matter how dishonest. Let us keep in mind that in the past we have repeatedly found Carrier guilty of presenting half-truths; here are two pertinent examples taken from our reply to his item on the resurrection of Jesus:


And yet Broken Vector would have us believe that such mistakes were and still are possible. It is written:

Being mistaken for dead is not impossible. Ancient accounts of misdiagnosed deaths exist. Pliny the Elder, writing in the 60's and 70's AD, collects several of them in his Natural History (7.176-179): people who were deemed dead, observed as dead all through their funeral, and on the pyre, ready to be set aflame, but who walked away nonetheless (and since all Romans served in the army, one can see from this fact that arguments about the special skills of soldiers are moot). One account includes a wound that would seem almost certainly fatal (a cut throat, 7.176).

It is at this point that I am constrained to deliver one of my harshest accusations against Broken Vector. Let it first be kept in mind that earlier, we were told that the apocryphal Acts of Peter could not be counted reliable because, among other reasons, it reported such events as the resurrection of a tunafish. Well and well. But it seems convenient that Broken Vector, one who holds credentials in the field of history and surely knows the full content of Pliny's work, neglects to mention in this context some of Pliny's other interesting reports in the same work, to wit, races of people who:

  • are cyclops who are plagued by griffins
  • have their feet on backwards and run very fast
  • can cure snake bites by touch
  • are androgynous, having thus a woman's breast on one side and a male breast on the other
  • have a double pupil in one eye and a likeness of a horse in the other; they are also incapable of drowning
  • have but one leg, and a large foot usable as an umbrella
  • have the heads of dogs and communicate by barking
  • have no mouth, and hair all over

    And so on; we could also mention the reports of a snake so deadly it can kill a man on a horse if the man touches it with its lance (and it kills the horse, too) but I think the point has been made. Now one would suspect that if Acts of Peter is to be discounted on the basis of resurrected Starkist, Pliny himself should lose a tad of his credibility on account of some of these reported oddities. But Broken Vector apparently does not feel that we need this information. Of course there are certain options. We could choose to believe Pliny about the dead people, and about the rest as well, but somehow I don't see Broken Vector taking that route, and that would also open the door to giving us no reason to doubt a resurrection. We could choose to believe only the parts of Pliny we like, and I can hear Broken Vector's echo stating that the "mistaken dead people" scenario is reasonable where the dog-headed men are not. But that argument shatters on the points we have made above: There were ample signs of death that even the stupidest ancient (though perhaps not the insulated rich like Pliny) could have observed, and would have observed on a regular basis. By itself this renders Pliny's "mistaken dead people" story into the category of the barking men. (Indeed, the shame of this above all is that Broken Vector later tells us, "...Pliny the Elder reports a lot of marvels as facts, and he was one of the most learned men in antiquity" in a discussion meant to prove that learned men could be superstitious and gullible! So why aren't these stories also "marvels reported as facts" -- other than that it is found convenient to classify them otherwise?)


    It is added then:

    Perhaps also this referred to the Jewish tradition of the time that the rock in the wilderness that Moses smote twice "poured out blood at the first stroke, and water at the second" (Shemoth Rabba, folio 122), the sign of God's grace and the gift of life (Christ was understood by Paul as representing this rock: 1 Cor. 10:4).

    Not, in Paul's case, in a narrative context; but we wonder as well why Broken Vector sees fit to report the text of the Shemoth Rabba yet fails to advise that this document dates from the 11th-12th century AD. Perhaps he did not feel that we needed this information.


    There is simply no excuse for this sort of gross misrepresentation. Leaving out critical points of information that seriously affect an argument is bad enough, but Carrier has also been found guilty of gross incompetence as well. Glenn Miller, for example, has noted here the bankruptcy of Carrier's argument that the use of a word for "rolled" referring to the stone covering the tomb of Jesus indicates a deficiency; Miller presented lexical data from both the LXX and classical sources -- sources Carrier certainly is aware of and should have checked before making his argument -- and thus Miller's conclusion:

    So, the lexical data indicates that 'roll' does not imply 'circularity of shape', but rather 'end-over-end' movement (e.g., the tumbling of boulders down a hillside or cliff). Accordingly, it is general enough a term to describe both the cases above, and cases of rotation of a cylinder along its circular circumference.
    The lexical data thus supports Kloner's statement that these words can/do mean 'moved' (as long as end-over-end movement is denoted). A simple "picking up and carrying " type of motion would NOT be described as kuliw-type motion, but this would rarely ever be done with boulders/stones of a size large enough to block/safeguard a tomb.

    Please note in particular Miller's point here (emphasis added) which highlights the problem of inadequate research and thus, for one professedly on the way to being a scholar in the field, gross incompetence:

    Richard was correct, though, that the lexical definition-entries do not give 'move' as a definition (e.g., LSJ), but had he looked through the actual word usage in the literature he would have no doubt recognized that 'roll' could also apply to non-circular objects. [In fact, the actual usage data shows that this word-group is more frequently used on non-round objects, than it is for 'actually round' objects.]
    The lexicons probably do not give 'move' for a meaning, since 'move' is too general a term [Remember, 'lift and carry' motion is NOT in view with kuliw words.] But 'roll' -- since it can apply to ANY end-over-end tumbling/jerky-type motion, is a perfect word for both 'smooth rolling' and 'staccato rolling' (smile)…

    The only conclusion that can be reached is that Carrier is either not competent to do this kind of work, or else, more disturbingly, that he knew this information and purposely withheld it. Neither is a promising answer. I would also add my own answer:

    But he is some more obfuscation: "...[B]ased on the use of the word 'roll' throughout the narratives, the actual stone that the Gospel writers had in mind was the thin, round type which fell into use after the Jewish War, long after the time of Jesus. This was lighter and very easy for one person to move by rolling it on its edge." This becomes rather interesting as here and elsewhere, Broken Vector appeals to the study of Amos Kloner showing that at the time of Jesus, 98% of the tombs (the other 2% belonging to the very rich) the stone would have been a sort of "plug" or "cork" that viewed from above had the shape of a T with a thick stem. Broken Vector makes capital of the "rolled" language, supposing further that it is evidence that the Gospels were written late, had no knowledge of the real tomb, and anachronistically assumed that the post-70 type of tomb, which was predominantly of the "rolling disc" variety, was what was used. Such uni-dimensional thinking! Barring an incomparable flurry of tomb-building or perhaps (if I may just suggest) renovation, if 98% of tombs prior to 70 were not of this type, then it would still take a significant time for the "rolling disc" sort to become the type the made the higher percentage, and the older ones would still be there and set the main example -- and I would assume, I think legitimately, that this would take longer than anyone would suppose the Gospels were written at latest. Second, it is noted that Kloner prefers to read "rolled" as "dislodged" in line with the idea of a squared stone. Broken Vector petulanty dismisses this thesis, saying there is no proof anywhere else of the word "rolled" being used this way, and re-asserting the premise of a disc-like stone. Let's think beyond the box or prejudice and presumption, shall we? If something must be round to be rolled, then why can automobiles "roll over" and why can planes do a "roll" manuever? In modern times at least, shape is not the determining factor for what defines a "roll": what defines a "roll" is the consecutive movement of an object so that it presents successive surfaces upward. Broken Vector needs to show that this does not obtain in Greek, and does not do so. Thus the Synoptics tell us (John merely says "taken away") that the squared stone was not merely moved away, but was in such a state that it had clearly been flipped over on at least two surfaces. My, but Jesus was a strong fellow! (As opposed to a "Stringfellow" -- as a side note, one may see in Mark and Luke's "rolled away" an allusion to Josh. 5:9, "And the LORD said unto Joshua, This day have I rolled away the reproach of Egypt from off you." I suppose reproach was round in those days. And for what it is worth, Matthew hints at a non-disc sort of stone when he says that an angel sat on it; there would not be much room for an angel to take a seat on a disc that most likely went back into a recess.)

    As of this date, Carrier has offered no reply to either of us on this point which was so critical to his case.

    In close for his introduction, Carrier shamelessly introduces the suggestion that we "must also rule out the influence of a deceiving supernatural power, i.e. some force, such as Satan, who could bring about the same results through supernatural influence, as some Jews might allege for the success of Christianity." In fact Jews did and would allege no such thing; Satan, though perhaps able to be credited for healing miracles, would not be regarded as having the prerogative of power of YHWH to give and take life, and to suggest such an option even so puts Carrier out of the realm of serious scholarship and into the realm of the likes of Acharya S. (Even at this, Carrier shamelessly says from the other side of his mouth that "we will assume" that the Satan-option is not viable, even as he introduces and discusses it to take advantage of the rhetorical benefit of doing so.) The bottom line: Carrier's case runs down to the same old canard time and again refuted, never improved since Hume: "Miracles don't happen, so some other explanation must be it." This bias lies behind his answers. We remain nevertheless with the point which even he admits: That there can be enough to make "miracle" the most probable explanation among all alternatives and that indeed, the "substantial scale of evidence," has been weighed and not found wanting.


    The Shameless Mercenary

    In case you're wondering....

    Carrier's response to my third point had 1302 words. From his rate sheet we find that he charges "6 cents per word written" for this type of work. Assuming that Johnny didn't ask for a rush job, that means that Richie was paid $78.12 for his response to this section. More on why we make a note of this later.


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